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Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know Newsby SA Editor Rachael Granby- Bank trio becomes duo. Wells Fargo (WFC) will become the largest U.S. bank by branches with its bid for Wachovia (WB), after Citigroup (C) withdrew from compromise negotiations late yesterday on concerns about the quality of some of Wachovia's assets. Wells Fargo, with a bid valued at $11.4B, expects the purchase to be completed by the end of the year, and denies it will have to absorb assets shakier than originally thought.
- Government considers next steps. As the financial crisis continues to worsen, the U.S. government is considering two dramatic steps to turn around, or at least slow, the damage: guaranteeing billions of dollars in bank debt and temporarily insuring all U.S. bank deposits. The moves, which would mark the government's most extensive intervention to date, are in discussion stages only.
- Credit stays frozen. As frozen credit markets refuse to thaw, the cost of default protection on corporate bonds reaches new global records amid investor concerns the credit crisis will trigger corporate failures as companies struggle to finance their businesses. Interbank lending remains limited, and borrowing from the Fed's expanded discount window continued its trend of setting new highs every week, as the total daily average rose to $420.2B vs. $367.8B last week.
- Oil demand withers. The International Energy Agency warned Friday worldwide oil demand...
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- Jim Cramer's Picks -SampleBetter Choices - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/15/08)by SA Editor Rachael GranbyStocks discussed in the lightning round session of Jim Cramers Mad Money TV program,
Wednesday, October 15.Bullish Calls:Continental Resources (CLR) -- "This is a remarkable decline. All of the high quality ones are down so much, I can't go against it. This is where you pull the trigger.
3M (MMM) -- The moment this stock starts yielding 5%, I'm a buyer. Until then, keep your powder dry.Bearish Calls:Computer Sciences (CSC) -- This is a company that was going to be bought, but they passed up the chance. Now I don't want to buy it."Email continues...
Annaly Mortgage (NLY) -- I think this is a business model that needs to borrow money. Definitively do not buy."
Northrop Grumman (NOC) -- You can't own the defense stocks right now. If I had to own one, I'd look at Lockheed Martin (LMT) with its good dividend. - Stocks & Sectors -SampleSeeking Alpha - Stocks & SectorsInternet
- eBay: Q3 Looks Good but Q4 Guidance Disappoints by Greg Feirman
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Media- A Triple Financial Whammy Afflicts Newspapers by Ken Doctor
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Telecom- Ten Ways to Invest in Louisiana by Stockerblog
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India- Indian Economy Has Much to Cheer About by Equitymaster
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Japan- Sanyo Enters Thin-Film Market, Goes Up Against Sharp by Greentech Media
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- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
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New ETFs- First Trust Launches Infrastructure ETF with Global Reach by Index Universe
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US Market- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
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Housing & Real Estate- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
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Latest Comments13 Comments
GE Hits 12-Year Low: Time To Stock Up
Do GE capital contracts still have "triple-A puts" ? (These were common in the early '90s).
Does Warren Buffett Think Goldman Is More Creditworthy Than GE?
It looks like BH/Mr. Buffet made GE capital ugliness a non-issue so that GE can move on with rebuilding the infrastructure of most of the world, financed by GS.
(There is an anecdote about Mr. Buffet wanting to "own a bridge" because everyone had to use it - this reminds me of that).(Except times a zillion).
At any rate, this seems to put a floor on GE's stock price at $22.84 at the end of 5 years time, or before (the strike price for the $3B in warrants).
We've Crossed the Line from Capitalism to Socialism
C'mon comrades - there's no Pravda in Izvestia and no Izvestia in Pravda as they say.
How We Lost Faith in the Financial Superstructure
www.rand.org/pubs/mono...
Of course factory floor jobs require on site workers, although I would query whether there will be alternatives to single individuals driving automobiles.
How We Lost Faith in the Financial Superstructure
Yet, the true cross-elasticity for gas in the tank is the internet -- telecommuting.
This is the fastest, cheapest, and cleanest way to eliminate dependence on mid east oil.
We need to decide if cultural issues are so important that we have to devote most of our national resources to keeping people in their cars so they can drive to a desk downtown.
Another American Money Pit: Infrastructure
GE Redefining Business, Breaking with Tradition, Expanding Overseas
GE Redefining Business, Breaking with Tradition, Expanding Overseas
GE Redefining Business, Breaking with Tradition, Expanding Overseas
If GE divests the other lower-margin divisions, what's left is high margin infrastructure. Then GE would qualify to be a holding in an infrastructure index, and get a higher multiplier.
So GE needs to have CNBC anchors start hauling cement while they are reporting.
Scarlett O'Hara, Doris Day and Financial Market Tumult
I haven't read the Grant piece, but the gist seems to be: All the backstops in regulatory, corporate governance and simple individual ethics failed, what happened?
Deconstructing what happened, not surprisingly, the theme running through it all like a red thread is, "Maximize my pay regardless of my performance". Put another way, "Money attracts flies."
So where are we: disorientedly afloat. Asset (stock, commodity) market values are untethered from the price of the financial instruments that created them.
The article points to the gold standard. Is gold the answer? It does tie valuation to something. I think it's too early. We don't know what we don't know, we need more unwinding. I don't even think mark to market by selling 10% and seeing what you get will work -- it's a moving target.
My vote: We need damage control during this "Great Unwinding".
Regulate leverage up the wazoo where ever you find it. Naked shorts, commodity futures, whatever. I'm not sure what needs to be done, but, painful as it may be, we need to have supply and demand relate to the asset, not to the financial instrument alone.
So far, the regulators seem to be saying, to paraphrase Scarlet, "[public] opinion is a matter of supreme indifference to me."
I'd like to see the D&O insurers help as far as governance, maybe they can team up with the regulators and make and actual plan, unlike what we have now, which is chaos.
The SEC's Campaign Against Naked Shorting: Misguided or Right On?
Pelican may be on to something, higher % returns, this is going on much more than we know.
SEC? Hello?
The SEC's Campaign Against Naked Shorting: Misguided or Right On?
I was unaware it was 17 companies. Why is making a special rule for 17 companies legal? Last time I checked we had a Constitutional Equal Protection clause -- you can't make laws picking only on individuals.
Be that as it may. . .I don't think these amorphous markets should be banned, just transparent.
I think you make an important point: With *unreported* naked shorters around (and dark pools), the public equities markets are now on-line gaming casinos. It's a guess - you don't know the value of the shares because you don't know the volume traded and you don't know the liquidity.
The regs should require that naked short contracts be made public, along with the number of shares or other instruments traded in dark pools.
Will 'Dark Pools' Be the Capital Markets' Next Black Holes?
If I post a web site that says, "Gambling here! Bet that General Electric Stock will go down!" the Feds and the state and the Native American tribes would be all over that for illegal gambling. But aren't dark pools the same thing?
Or, at a minimum, illegal boycotts? Aren't the dark pools refusing to deal in an anticompetitive way?
We need some sunshine on these "dark pools", they defeat the purpose of the securities laws by totally hiding the major risks involved with investing -- which is the exact opposite of what the securities laws were supposed to do. The laws are to let people kick the tires, slam the doors and figure out if the stock is worth the price based on information available to everyone. If the major, market-moving information is secret -- the liquidity (volume of shares) traded -- then isn't that just admitting that the SEC is a farce, and basically the stock markets aren't based on free market, but rather based on collusion of the economically powerful private entities?
Am I overly paranoid? To me this is so obvious -- am I the only one?
Regulators? Business leaders? Hello?