The Geared Investor

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    • Thu Jul 17th 11:16 AM
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      Commented on:
      E-Commerce and Private Equity Booming in China
      It was only a matter of time before China began to crumble and allow themselves to be westernized. Think about it form a governmental point of view; you can hold back your citizens for traditional reasons, or you can allow your country to adapt and reap the financial benefits. With internet bans lifted and eCommerce possible, the government is able to charge more tax on selling. This directly effects the quality of living and growth of an already expanding country. I think this is just the beginning, especially when the western farmland starts to convert to more urban areas as population density becomes even MORE of a problem. Let's not forget the Olympic influence.
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    • Tue Jul 15th 13:56 PM
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      Commented on:
      Bernanke Testimony: Dove With Gloves Off
      Nice article John,

      I'm extremely pleased with the way Bernanke just put it on the table without sweeping the elephant under the rug. Let the people know what the economy could be like for the next few years. People who are not diehard into the markets may understand this and shift their 401k to more conservative approaches. Readers like you and I will see this as a time to look into emerging markets and start stockpiling while the market is buyer friendly.

      Great comment about the oil prices only being mildly effected by speculators. Their called traders too, and they should not be persecuted. Just because I trade forex, does that make me responsible for the week dollar. My point exactly.

      Cheers
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    • Mon Jul 14th 15:10 PM
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      U.S. Government Is Heading for a Slippery Slope
      I've been saying for months that these 'free lunch' shops are going to start a downward spiral for the economy. Too many people are of the notion that the US market is bullet proof.

      And while it wears a pretty nice vest compared to most countries, nothing is that solid. This market correction might have been necessary considering the commodities factors, but it was escalated by the housing market. This set off the consumer confidence decline, along with the war, then oil, etc. Are Freddie and Fannie a bad idea overall? I don't think so.

      But I definitely think the regulation of these endeavors is to blame for the slippery slope. Do it right, and it appears like America is able help the little man. Slip just a little and you dislodge the rock that starts the landslide. And yes, it's still dangerous to short.
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    • Sun Jul 13th 10:13 AM
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      Commented on:
      Anheuser / InBev: Cooler Heads Prevail
      I'm telling you, the BUD and YHOO deals are a black eye for America. YHOO less so than the takeover of our largest brewery by a foreign country. I went on a rant in a post of mine a couple of day s ago, and I still hold that feeling. I also feel that InBev might be making the move at the wrong time if this move does go through. If the price of commodities to produce beer continues to increase, and InBev has to eat $70 per share, the first few quarter results could be a catastrophe. I think shareholders will understand in the beginning, but the long term for all stocks centrally based around commodities will have to lower their earnings forecasts to stay in the black.
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    • Sat Jul 12th 21:59 PM
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      Commented on:
      Energy Recovery Shakes Up Dead IPO Market
      I love this IPO, for the simple reason that energy reduction companies are going to play a very large part of our future. For instance: the amount of salt water is staying the same (95% of all water), populations are increasing at an extreme rate, which increases the need for clean water. But with that factor comes a need for energy, which is going in the inverse direction of the amount of people in the world. If a plant is driven by oil, and oil consumption increases, leaving a depleted stock, then prices increase. And if it no longer becomes profitable or feasible for a government to produce the water, then the people suffer. Dirty water, diseases, etc. You get the picture. Company will soar in 5 years if not sooner. A personal favorite.
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    • Sat Jul 12th 21:45 PM
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      Commented on:
      Semi-Upbeat Housing News
      A falling knife is right. I actually used that exact same reference (very, very freaky that was used here) in a recent housing post here:

      www.thegearedinvestor....

      It's obvious where I stand after reading, but I do give my precautions; especially if anyone is a young, eager buyer.

      Cheers
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    • Wed Jul 9th 13:17 PM
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      Finding Meaning in Volatility
      James,

      Nice post. I was wondering at what point or timescale do you feel that there is a substantial reversal. By that I'm referring to your chart, which is based on yearly cycles; is there anyway during mid-year to see the turn around in volatility and feel like entering long positions is justifiable? I've never seen this plotted, so this was a nice addition to the arsenal of things to monitor when gauging market strength.

      Cheers
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