hanson001

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    • Mon Nov 24th 13:35 PM
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      Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News
      Sorry Axelrod I was reading really fast.

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    • Mon Nov 24th 11:49 AM
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      Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News
      Don't be an idiot axelrod. The Democrats are just as much to blame. As is all of our Hannah Montana society. However, if you are the Axelrod of Obama's campaign, your musings make sense; partisan. This when you tell everyone else not to be partisan like you are some kind of great Maximilian Robespierre.

      Do agree with your Greenspan argument.
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    • Wed Oct 8th 12:58 PM
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      Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News
      For it is written, I will destroy the wisdom of the wise, and will bring to nothing the understanding of the prudent. Where is the wise? where is the scribe? where is the disputer of this world? hath not God made foolish the wisdom of this world?

      I Corinthians 1:19-20

      Yes sir, over and over again.
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    • Thu Sep 25th 12:09 PM
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      Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News
      axelrod6008: If I could have my way, the people that helped create this problem would have zero assets. That would mean that a great deal of the world's population would have no roof over their head. The plan that's in front of Congress is the government attempting to preserve what is left.

      The government will not allow a run on the banks? Yeah, like the Great Depression, when we had bank holidays, after the damage was done. And the French government couldn't stop the bastille coming down, eventhough they said don't do that. One could argue the run has already begun with Bearns Stearns and Lehman. The government always acts after the infection has taken hold.
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    • Thu Sep 25th 09:48 AM
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      Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News
      axelrod608: "In the P&B (Paulson and Bernake) plan I have yet to hear where the proceeds would go. Wouldn't paying the creditors be a good thing, especially since P&B have repeatedly made the case that their plan is to fix the credit problem ? "

      The tax payers, like always, are the creditors. The proceeds, depending on how the reverse auction turns out, could be a good investment. Don't get me wrong. I am for the free-hand no matter what. My belief is that great stress is the only way to change behavior.

      axelrod608: "It would be a piece of cake to add a dozen or more judges to the bankruptcy system to handle the additional demand. The cost would be recaptured in the asset auctions. More responsible companies with stronger balance sheets and more conservative executives would buy up the assets of the insolvent companies and put them back to work. And they wouldn't play Lotto with their shareholders' funds."

      This problem is global and I believe we are close to a run on the banks. The behavior in the money market accounts and the t-bill yields should give you a clue. People, smartly, have no confidence in the system. Too many lies, too much greed, too many people with great dept levels crying about the government having the same problem. Wow! We have a very sick culture.

      Our sin nature makes me collect ammo.
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    • Thu Sep 11th 11:15 AM
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      Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News
      notosmart: Why the pride man? The world will follow us down the rat hole. Look at the sovereign wealth funds; they haven't made good on their investments here. Look at all the foreign banks that hold our government paper. This is global, and while our ship is sinking, they are taking on water also.
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    • Wed Sep 10th 16:14 PM
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      Can the US Government Afford Future Bailouts?
      LOL. monday1929: "How about shipping each American a small printing press to save postage on stimulus checks." Killer!

      Well, I think the consumer's printing press came in the form of home equity loans. Wonder how many of these are upside down?
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    • Fri Aug 15th 17:01 PM
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      The Complete Failure of Owners' Equivalent Rent
      "If home prices are going up, but rates are going down (like happened a few years ago), then the monthly payment for new buyers might actually be lower year over year! "

      This has proven not to be true. If it were true, I wouldn't be feeding homeless people in the soup kitchen today. The home price increase wiped out any savings from lower interest rates on average.

      It would be better if the CPI measured rents and home prices.
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    • Fri Aug 15th 13:36 PM
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      The Complete Failure of Owners' Equivalent Rent
      Disstresse: The CPI measures a basket of good and services. Over 80,000 items are measured each month. I bet you didn't purchased a few of the 80,000 items that are in the Index. So which items should they drop?

      The CPI was never meant to be a personal inflation Index. The items make their way into the Index from Census Bureau surveys. These items are then placed in categories and weighted based on proportion of income spent on each category.

      So, I think the author and everyone else knows that the CPI is not our personal inflation indicator. I read this author a great deal and he on the government numbers like a blue tick hound. He is only showing how the published numbers are not reflecting the general inflation level that we experience. He does a wonderful, comprehensive job if you ask me.



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    • Tue Aug 12th 10:32 AM
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      While Natural Gas Production Increases, Company Stock Prices May Not
      Jack: I think we lack storage, facilities to liquify, and ships to carry. This would have to be built out and I don't know what price justifies its build. I am thinking along your same lines however.
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    • Tue Jul 29th 13:14 PM
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      Why the 2008 Housing Relief Bill is No Relief
      No worries, Obama is going to fix everything. In fact, Oprah Winfrey guarantees it. All those souls clapping at his gathering and her show can not be wrong. The crowd is always right; right?
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    • Wed Jul 23rd 10:36 AM
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      Americans Changing The Way They Live [Housing Tracker]
      Love your format Judy.

      I worked in Atlanta, GA from 2002 - 2007. This was the housing bubble years. I noticed many people I worked with, in order to pay the mortgage, take in boarders. Bubbles always gives one clues before they bust.
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    • Mon Jul 21st 13:12 PM
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      Is Natural Gas Down for the Count?
      I wonder how much gas the Haynesville Shale will bring to the market. What will this 4th largest gas field in the world do to the price of NG? I am located in the Haynesville Shale in NW Louisiana. Being here, I am starting to hear production numbers.

      Petrohawk has a horizontal well producing 16.8 million cubic feet per day. From Chesapeake's recent conference call on July 2nd, their 8 horizontal wells in the Haynesville are producing 5 - 15 mmcfe per day. Louisiana pipeline infrastructure is better than the other shale plays and our NG gets to market fast. It will be interesting to see what production in the Haynesville does to inventory levels.
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    • Thu Jul 17th 10:20 AM
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      Homebuilders Woo Back First-Time Homebuyers [Housing Tracker]
      Dont guess we will ever get it.

      "In 2006, KB’s basic model in Victorville, Cal. [was] 3,800-sf and sold for $328,000. Today, its stripped down offering goes for $220,000, at less than half the size."

      The size of the home is less than half the 2006 model but the price didn't come down by half. The price came down about 33%.

      Guess the housing market will keep going down until value shows up. I mean the person buying the home mentioned above is not getting a good deal. They are paying too much. And isn't this what got us into the housing market slump. The home cost too much so we come up with creative ways to finance something that cost too much.

      We will keep repeating the same mistakes until we learn the lesson.
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    • Mon Jul 14th 11:52 AM
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      Housing: Barron's Calls a Bottom
      Home prices. No telling how far they might fall or move sideways. If one looks at the purchaser of homes, I have never seen the consumer so tapped out. And during the escalation of the price, the consumer's wages could not keep up with the price changes. This brought about creative financing along with people cashing out equity in an ever increasing asset class.

      Happy birthday! Add to this inflation (headline inflation doesn't begin to caputure it), sinking dollar, and interest rates that have no where to go but up, and the only remedy I see to the problem is decreasing the price, greatly reducing inventory, or building much smaller homes that people can afford.

      I read some time ago (maybe two years) that people were buying homes two times the size they grew up in. I thought this strange, but knowing human behavior, "look at me I am successful", knew we would dig our own grave. I mean are we not producing less children now? Why such a big house. Back in the day, one could not purchase a home if the payments were more than 30% of his/her income. Looks like we are going back to the day.

      Dang! We didn't raise our kids to watch what they spend.

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