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- Wall Street Breakfast -Sample
Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know Newsby SA Editor Rachael Granby- Bank trio becomes duo. Wells Fargo (WFC) will become the largest U.S. bank by branches with its bid for Wachovia (WB), after Citigroup (C) withdrew from compromise negotiations late yesterday on concerns about the quality of some of Wachovia's assets. Wells Fargo, with a bid valued at $11.4B, expects the purchase to be completed by the end of the year, and denies it will have to absorb assets shakier than originally thought.
- Government considers next steps. As the financial crisis continues to worsen, the U.S. government is considering two dramatic steps to turn around, or at least slow, the damage: guaranteeing billions of dollars in bank debt and temporarily insuring all U.S. bank deposits. The moves, which would mark the government's most extensive intervention to date, are in discussion stages only.
- Credit stays frozen. As frozen credit markets refuse to thaw, the cost of default protection on corporate bonds reaches new global records amid investor concerns the credit crisis will trigger corporate failures as companies struggle to finance their businesses. Interbank lending remains limited, and borrowing from the Fed's expanded discount window continued its trend of setting new highs every week, as the total daily average rose to $420.2B vs. $367.8B last week.
- Oil demand withers. The International Energy Agency warned Friday worldwide oil demand...
- The Macro View -SampleSeeking Alpha - The Macro ViewMarket Outlook
- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
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Oil Price- Oil Below $75: Increased Chance of OPEC Production Cuts by Money Morning
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Economy- Long Term, Financials Look Good by Michael Filloon
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- Jim Cramer's Picks -SampleBetter Choices - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/15/08)by SA Editor Rachael GranbyStocks discussed in the lightning round session of Jim Cramers Mad Money TV program,
Wednesday, October 15.Bullish Calls:Continental Resources (CLR) -- "This is a remarkable decline. All of the high quality ones are down so much, I can't go against it. This is where you pull the trigger.
3M (MMM) -- The moment this stock starts yielding 5%, I'm a buyer. Until then, keep your powder dry.Bearish Calls:Computer Sciences (CSC) -- This is a company that was going to be bought, but they passed up the chance. Now I don't want to buy it."Email continues...
Annaly Mortgage (NLY) -- I think this is a business model that needs to borrow money. Definitively do not buy."
Northrop Grumman (NOC) -- You can't own the defense stocks right now. If I had to own one, I'd look at Lockheed Martin (LMT) with its good dividend. - Stocks & Sectors -SampleSeeking Alpha - Stocks & SectorsInternet
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Telecom- Ten Ways to Invest in Louisiana by Stockerblog
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- Shared Docks Via WiFi All the Rage by Dean Bubley
Financial- Switzerland Strengthens Its Banks; Short Interest Remains Low by Jessica Johnson
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- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- USANA Health Sciences Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Perfect World Announces Share Repurchase Program by Trader Mark
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India- Indian Economy Has Much to Cheer About by Equitymaster
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Japan- Sanyo Enters Thin-Film Market, Goes Up Against Sharp by Greentech Media
Asia- Four International Dividend Stocks to Watch by David Hunkar
Eastern Europe- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
- Alternative Energy Investing -SampleSeeking Alpha - Alternative EnergyAlternative Energy
- Seven Stocks for an Impending Apocalypse by H.J. Huneycutt
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- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
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New ETFs- First Trust Launches Infrastructure ETF with Global Reach by Index Universe
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Emerging Market ETFs- Brazil Is the Best of BRIC by Carl T. Delfeld
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US Market- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
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Housing & Real Estate- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
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Transcripts- TrueBlue, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
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ETF- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
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GM: More Bailout-Worthy than Citigroup
It makes zero sense to argue that, because Bush & Co made a terrible mistake, Pelosi/Obama & Co are somehow justified in repeating the mistake
Bailing out society's failures at the expense of its successful taxpayers is a clear recipe to ensure our children and grandchildren never see what used to be called the American Dream
More Trouble in Store for Citigroup
"Not sure dismissing the highly paid producers is the way to go..."
Labeling traders and salespeople "producers" and the rest of the staff "cost centers" is the sort of thinking that got many banks into the situation they are in.
Many otherwise good sports players have fallen under the delusion that they (singularly) are the team, and all the other players are dead weight. Better coaches quickly rid these divas of their thinking before they mess up the entire team.
Without good back office people, trades won't clear and clients will get upset. Without good IT software, traders have trouble tracking all their trades -- the manual "T-sheets" of yester-year would never handle today's volumes.
And without a competent risk management department, banks would end up -- well, like they did end up. Over-emphasis on so-called "producers", while ignoring all the other producers that make the traders/salespeople's job possible -- is just another example of poor management on the part of CEOs.
If your bank has more than one employee (never mind 300K) -- it is a team sport. If the line guys don't do their job well, your star quarterback is just a target waiting to be sacked. Tell your linemen they are an expendable "cost center" and prepare to carry your quarterback out on a stretcher and loose the game.
And in the case of most banks, a lot of what the "producers" supposedly produced was really garbage. If the risk management department hadn't been gutted, the CEO might have known the difference.
On Recent Financial Stories
1) It was the CEO and the "profit" centers who got over-levered on mortgage debt they didnt understand
2) It was the CEO's earlier decisions to ignore risk management and not develop proper risk management software... its far from obvious how cutting these areas further will do anything but hurt
3) Exactly how many traders does it take to go out and buy assets they clearly don't understand and on absurd leverage? Any janitor who dropped out of high school could lose billions just as fast -- and a lot cheaper
4) Does Citi need thousands of securitization lawyers and deal makers considering the market is all but shut down? Do any of the banks need this?
5) Why is management overly concerned with approving first class business airline tickets? If there was actual business activity occurring, a multi-billion dollar corporation really shouldn't care between $300 and $3000... the real question is "Why are you flying at all?" Since there is no business going on, don't fly at all. Get rid of the managers who want to fly first class -- and while you are at it, get rid of the manager who does the approving.
6) This one is a no brainer: save millions by getting rid of all the McKinsey people or else all the Citi managers. If the Citi managers don't know what they are doing, why are they there? If they do know what they are doing, why is McKinsey there? Two completely redundant management structures
But even with two redundant management structures, the best plan they can come up with is to make cuts in risk management and IT? How many McKinsey people did it take to conclude that firing people who had nothing to do with the mistakes that caused the bank's collapse won't result in lower staff morale?
The Credit Bubble: Deregulation Gone Wild
Before you start expanding regulatory power, you need to ask why the regulators made almost no use of their existing powers. You need to establish that existing powers are insufficient -- as opposed to just unused.
Even if you make the Fed into an absolute dictator, what good would it do if they don't use their powers (for good)?
The problem isn't deregulation (which never happened except on paper). The problem is the regulations we already have were not enforced.
The government had to choose between collecting higher taxes on bubble homes, or enforcing the existing rules. The government repeatedly chose higher taxes by turning a blind eye to a problem they knew about all to well.