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Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know Newsby SA Editor Rachael Granby- Bank trio becomes duo. Wells Fargo (WFC) will become the largest U.S. bank by branches with its bid for Wachovia (WB), after Citigroup (C) withdrew from compromise negotiations late yesterday on concerns about the quality of some of Wachovia's assets. Wells Fargo, with a bid valued at $11.4B, expects the purchase to be completed by the end of the year, and denies it will have to absorb assets shakier than originally thought.
- Government considers next steps. As the financial crisis continues to worsen, the U.S. government is considering two dramatic steps to turn around, or at least slow, the damage: guaranteeing billions of dollars in bank debt and temporarily insuring all U.S. bank deposits. The moves, which would mark the government's most extensive intervention to date, are in discussion stages only.
- Credit stays frozen. As frozen credit markets refuse to thaw, the cost of default protection on corporate bonds reaches new global records amid investor concerns the credit crisis will trigger corporate failures as companies struggle to finance their businesses. Interbank lending remains limited, and borrowing from the Fed's expanded discount window continued its trend of setting new highs every week, as the total daily average rose to $420.2B vs. $367.8B last week.
- Oil demand withers. The International Energy Agency warned Friday worldwide oil demand...
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Oil Price- Oil Below $75: Increased Chance of OPEC Production Cuts by Money Morning
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Long Ideas- Utilities Beginning to Generate Interest for Longs by Joe Kunkle
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- Jim Cramer's Picks -SampleBetter Choices - Cramer's Lightning Round (10/15/08)by SA Editor Rachael GranbyStocks discussed in the lightning round session of Jim Cramers Mad Money TV program,
Wednesday, October 15.Bullish Calls:Continental Resources (CLR) -- "This is a remarkable decline. All of the high quality ones are down so much, I can't go against it. This is where you pull the trigger.
3M (MMM) -- The moment this stock starts yielding 5%, I'm a buyer. Until then, keep your powder dry.Bearish Calls:Computer Sciences (CSC) -- This is a company that was going to be bought, but they passed up the chance. Now I don't want to buy it."Email continues...
Annaly Mortgage (NLY) -- I think this is a business model that needs to borrow money. Definitively do not buy."
Northrop Grumman (NOC) -- You can't own the defense stocks right now. If I had to own one, I'd look at Lockheed Martin (LMT) with its good dividend. - Stocks & Sectors -SampleSeeking Alpha - Stocks & SectorsInternet
- eBay: Q3 Looks Good but Q4 Guidance Disappoints by Greg Feirman
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Media- A Triple Financial Whammy Afflicts Newspapers by Ken Doctor
- Three Years On, Buying MySpace Looks Like One of Murdoch's Smartest Bets by Erick Schonfeld
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Telecom- Ten Ways to Invest in Louisiana by Stockerblog
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Financial- Switzerland Strengthens Its Banks; Short Interest Remains Low by Jessica Johnson
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- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
- USANA Health Sciences Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Perfect World Announces Share Repurchase Program by Trader Mark
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India- Indian Economy Has Much to Cheer About by Equitymaster
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Japan- Sanyo Enters Thin-Film Market, Goes Up Against Sharp by Greentech Media
Asia- Four International Dividend Stocks to Watch by David Hunkar
Eastern Europe- Reality Bites As Stocks Continue To Collapse by The Mole
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- Seven Stocks for an Impending Apocalypse by H.J. Huneycutt
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- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
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New ETFs- First Trust Launches Infrastructure ETF with Global Reach by Index Universe
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Emerging Market ETFs- Brazil Is the Best of BRIC by Carl T. Delfeld
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US Market- An Outcry from Emerging and Developed Markets Alike by Jonathan O'Shaughnessy
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Housing & Real Estate- Too Early To Buy Homebuilders ETF by Larry MacDonald
- Another 'Root Cause' That Isn't: Tumbling Home Prices by Tim Iacono
Transcripts- TrueBlue, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
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Latest Comments16 Comments
Share Buybacks Make Apple Sweeter
Apple Links Higher Sales with Higher Prices
Macs aren't more expensive. It's a myth. Configured feature for feature, they cost exactly the same as PCs. Factor in premature obsolescence of PC hardware and the ten year cost of a Mac is probably half that of a PC.
Apple's Bountiful Revenues Are Bigger Than Ever
Apple's Bountiful Revenues Are Bigger Than Ever
Corporate CFOs must eventually realize what Windows costs them in lost productivity and expensive support. Now... ask yourself what will happen when businesses finally abandon the failed promises of Microsoft and turns to OS X.
Second point... by most accounts Apple's overall computer market share stands at 6%. Their laptop market share is estimated to be at least twice that much. This is DOUBLE the market share from eighteen months ago, and there is reason to believe this growth will continue. Computers represent a much higher margin item for AAPL.
One downside... Apple computers enjoy a much longer service life than anything running Windows. I've owned Macs exclusively for 22 years. They have at least a six year time in service life and become functionally obsolete much later, so AAPL won't sell replacement computers as frequently as Dell and HP's throwaway junk. Factor that into your purchase cost fatcat.
What It Would Take To Fix Microsoft For Me
Tiger runs fine on machines even older than that.
Windows generally requires new hardware with every OS upgrade.
Apple Pushes Its Envelope Further Than Ever
Two Notes on Apple; Bad News Appears Priced In
Great quote; sums up everything I've always believed about analysts. I have compiled notable analyst quotes dating back to 1997 and love to throw them back in their face. Nearly none of them understand that Apple also builds - surprise! - computers. AAPL has been dragged down by widespread crummy economic conditions completely unrelated to the company's performance, and at $120 it's a steal. When the market recognizes this company's growing market acceptance (example: guess what laptop maker just surpassed Dell in the education market) the analysts will be raising their targets again.
Does Apple's Market Share Gain Really Matter?
Every successful internet retailer's website functions with Safari. Imagine what would happen if Amazon or Ebay consciously decided to make their websites compatible only with IE. If a website requires IE to function, I can't use it.
Will Apple's Leopard OS Change the PC Industry?
Study Projects Apple Laptops Top Consumer Choice Next Quarter
Why I'm All About Apple
Several weeks ago I had a rather heated discussion with a long-time PC devotee, who "can't stand Apple" and had recently spent $5500 on a custom built high end Dell workstation, but recently had to replace its hard disk twice in eighteen months. After telling me everything he expects to do with his computer, I tried in vain to convince him to buy an Apple. He eventually conceded my points were valid, but he just "prefers the Windows way". In the end I managed to convince him to go to an Apple store, not to buy anything, just to check things out and see what's new.
A week later he called me. You guessed it - he exited the Apple store with a brand new iMac. I asked how its performance compares to his ultra-high-end Windows box. He laughed and said "actually, I haven't used it since I bought the iMac."
Why I'm All About Apple
Six Stocks to Buy, Five Stocks to Short
Garmin is one of those few companies. It also fell victim to the tech selloff with NO substantive news to warrant it, and is now a screaming good deal at $80. Like Apple, Garmin makes innovative, superior products, with brilliant leadership. I've been waiting for just this opportunity to buy.
Don't like the CNBC news? All the tickers are red? Those who have done their research will find screaming good deals when all the news is bad! Absolutely no one is recommending financial stocks now. What does that tell you?
Mr. Cherukuri, your head is in the right place. Follow it, not your gut. Look for AAPL to exceed its previous highs in January. GRMN will probably exceed them sooner than that.
The Mac OS X Malware Myth Continues
OS X is the only OS with origins in a multiuser, multitasking, secure OS, while Windows in all its incarnations has been an attempt to retrofit security to an aging interface.
With OS X, Apple completely scrapped its legacy OS and started over with a clean sheet using a BSD Unix core. Windows has no analogous core other than MS-DOS. Without scrapping Windows and starting from scratch, nothing from MSFT will ever be as secure as OS X.
Depending on Long-Term Aggressive Growth for Apple is a Gamble
Apple is now ideally positioned to capitalize on a sea change in the computing status quo. It's about time people are waking up the fact that Apple reliably delivers quality while Microsoft's offerings have failed to deliver the user experience so often promised. Vista is a disappointment at best. MSFT's enormous success also presents a huge obstacle to any meaningful change to its basic interface, and any box maker reliant on MSFT is going to see their futures tied to an aging interface. Dell and HPQ computers are already considered throwaway junk, how are they going to look in the future, when all they can run is Windows?
As a long term investment, AAPL has a long way to go before any sane person would put it in the same league as a bank or GE or KO. That's why Warren Buffet doesn't buy tech, no tech stock in the world has been around for a century like them. BRKA might buy tech around the year 2080.
Several reasons I think the outlook is decidedly positive for AAPL over the next five to ten years: The iPhone is likely to be a franchise, and a high margin one at that. Its worldwide market is virtually limitless. iTMS and iPods already are. The biggest potential for huge success is computers - a much higher margin product for them. Having languished for too long, market share is finally accelerating. Some accounts put laptop market share already at 20%.
If there is speculative value in APPL right now, it's on their computers, but given recent trends I think it's worth the risk. Ten or more years from now? That's an eternity in tech. In 2017, AAPL might be the next MSFT - and you can interpret that any way you like!